GLOBAL MACRO SURPRISE MAP

Visualizing economic performance relative to expectations.Green = Beating Estimates,Red = Missing Estimates.

Last Updated: 2/4/2026•Data Source: Finnhub Economic Calendar

Positive Surprise

Neutral / No Data

Negative Surprise

Select a Country

Click on any colored region on the map to view detailed economic surprise data.

HOW IT WORKS

Data Source

We aggregate real-time economic calendar data from the Finnhub API, focusing on high-impact macroeconomic events over the last 30 days.

Key indicators tracked include GDP Growth, CPI (Inflation), Unemployment Rates, PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index), and Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions.

Surprise Calculation

For each event, we calculate a "Surprise Score" based on the deviation between the Actual reported figure and the market Estimate (Consensus).

Positive Surprise: Data came in better than expected (e.g., higher GDP).
Negative Surprise: Data came in worse than expected (e.g., higher Unemployment).

Country Sentiment Model

Individual event scores are aggregated to form a Country Sentiment Score (0-100).

> 60 (Positive): Economy is outperforming expectations.
40-60 (Neutral): Data is in line with consensus.
< 40 (Negative): Economy is underperforming.